news

Brexit could hurt Malaysian real estate investments in UK, says economist

KUALA LUMPUR (June 10): Major Malaysian real estate investments in London will be affected if Britain leaves the European Union (EU) as it will result in a significant drop in the value of the pound sterling, said an economist.

“Some say a 20% drop in the pound is a probable number, although it is very hard to quantify,” said Allianz SE chief economist Michael Heise.

“But I do agree it would be substantial, maybe 10%, maybe 15% to 20%, which of course will hurt the value of investments in real estate in London, and the real estate market itself might be hit by such a move because many investors would probably wait and see what happens, on how the British government gets into renegotiation and so on.

“So you have a double effect; so that is something to watch out for,” Heise said during a briefing here yesterday on perspectives of the world economy and Asia.

A referendum will be held on June 23 to decide whether Britain should leave or remain in the EU.

Allianz SE foresees a 30% to 40% risk that Brexit (Britain’s exit from the EU) will occur, according to the consensus.

Heise said Brexit is not likely to prompt other countries to also leave the EU, although it could spark separatist movements in those countries.

“If any countries were to leave, it would be the major economies like Germany that is contributing most to the EU,” he said. “But I don’t think Germany is looking to leave the EU. They are trying to keep the EU together.”

A report from Knight Frank in November last year found that Malaysia was the third-largest Asian investor in the British and Australian property markets in 2014 and 2015.

Malaysia, with investments totalling US$5.61 billion, followed Singapore in first place with investments worth US$25.1 billion, and China at second with US$22.09 billion investments.

One major Malaysian real estate project in London is the Battersea Power Station redevelopment project.

The project involves the redevelopment of 15.78ha of the Battersea Power Station in the city by the consortium comprising S P Setia Bhd, Sime Darby Bhd and the Employees Provident Fund.

Sometimes, even the value of your home can be a mystery. Go to The Edge Reference Price to find out.

This article first appeared in The Edge Financial Daily, on June 10, 2016. Subscribe to The Edge Financial Daily here.

Like our content? Check out Narratives – where we curate stories based on topics to keep you well and broadly informed about Malaysian real estate.

Looking for property? Check out Location Scan, where we summarize all available options and facts you need in a few clicks. We have updated the tool to include MRT3 stations too.

Curious how much you can borrow? Use LoanCheck to get your maximum loan eligibility from various banks, or LoanReport to get a FREE CTOS/CCRIS credit report.
SHARE
RELATED POSTS
  1. London’s first art’otel to open at Battersea Power Station this year
  2. Eco World International's 3Q net profit plunges 93.39% to RM2.49 million on fewer units handed over
  3. E&O launches The Lincoln Suites apartment-hotel in London