BNM may move to shield economy from external headwinds, economists lean towards rate cut
About half of 23 economists polled predict a cut from 3%, while the rest expect the central bank to stand pat.
About half of 23 economists polled predict a cut from 3%, while the rest expect the central bank to stand pat.
Leading loan indicators were also mixed—loan approvals rose, applications moderated and disbursements declined.
"If the Fed stays on hold for longer, or the unwinding of fuel subsidies sends inflation too high, BNM may be content to keep the OPR at 3%.
Malaysia’s economy may expand 4%-5% this year, according to government forecast, following a weaker-than-expected 3.
Bank Negara Malaysia resisted pressures to raise the overnight policy rate last November, and “we expect the same this week”, HSBC said.
Whether correctly or incorrectly, Malaysia’s current “supportive monetary policy” may be construed as “accommodative or dovish,” especially in relation to higher interest rates in several other economies.
The last time Bank Negara Malaysia raised the OPR was in May, instituting a 25 bps hike to 3%, from 2.
Bank Negara is scheduled to hold its sixth and final Monetary Policy Committee meeting for 2023 on Nov 1 and 2.
MIDF Research, however, thinks that the steady domestic demand and sticky core inflation that lingered above 3% — as opposed to the pre-pandemic average of 1.
“Core inflation eased to a lesser extent compared to headline inflation but the direction implies that inflationary pressures are easing.